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Science & Technology

2024’s “Miracle Drug” Could End HIV; But Only If the Price Tag Doesn’t Scare Us Off

Prathamesh Kabra
Last updated: December 19, 2024 10:04 AM
By Prathamesh Kabra
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6 Min Read
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A vial with a Hiv vaccine and a syringe.

For over 40 years, the world has been locked in a battle with HIV, a virus that refuses to go quietly.

But according to scientists, 2024 might just be the year humanity finally lands a decisive blow in this fight. The secret weapon?

A twice-a-year injection called lenacapavir that promises to all but eliminate new HIV infections.

And yes, in case you were wondering, this is the part where we’re supposed to cheer. But hold onto your confetti because, as always, there’s a catch—or five.

The Buzz: A “Breakthrough of the Year”

So, what’s the big deal?

Lenacapavir’s rise to fame came after two groundbreaking trials demonstrated its jaw-dropping effectiveness in preventing HIV transmission.

According to NPR, the journal Science declared the drug 2024’s “Breakthrough of the Year,” calling it a “pivotal step” toward ending the HIV/AIDS epidemic.

Translation?

This little vial might be our best shot at curbing the spread of a virus that’s still infecting 1.3 million people annually.

But don’t get too excited just yet—there’s plenty of bureaucracy and red tape to slog through before anyone gets to call this a win.

A Look at the Numbers

The trials behind this miracle drug read like a sci-fi script. In the PURPOSE 2 study, which tested over 3,200 people worldwide, lenacapavir showed an impressive 96% effectiveness at preventing HIV in cisgender men, transgender individuals, and nonbinary participants who have sex with men.

Even more mind-blowing?

The earlier PURPOSE 1 trial—featuring 5,300 women in South Africa and Uganda—boasted a perfect track record.

Not a single participant contracted HIV.

That’s right, 100% efficacy. You’d think we’d have parties in the streets over stats like these, but let’s not get ahead of ourselves.

The Science: Why This Works

Lenacapavir targets HIV at its core by messing with the virus’s capsid protein—a protective shield that guards its genetic material. The drug essentially “freezes” the protein, shutting down viral replication.

Ethel Weld, an assistant professor at Johns Hopkins, called these results “a thrilling game-changer.”

According to NPR, she likened the simplicity of a biannual shot to a vaccine, removing the daily grind of taking pills.

A pharmacist holds a vial of lenacapavir, at the Desmond Tutu Health Foundation's Masiphumelele Research Site, in Cape Town, South Africa, on July 23, 2024.
A pharmacist holds a vial of lenacapavir, at the Desmond Tutu Health Foundation’s Masiphumelele Research Site, in Cape Town, South Africa. The drug’s development has been heralded as the 2024 Breakthrough of the Year by the journal Science, which described it as representing “a pivotal step toward diminishing HIV/AIDS as a global health crisis.” Photo: Nardus Engelbrecht/AP

Out with the Pills, In with the Shots

Speaking of pills, lenacapavir could spell the end of oral PrEP medications like Truvada, which require users to take them daily.

While oral PrEP is theoretically 99% effective, real-world adherence is a hot mess.

Some people just don’t take the pills regularly, while others avoid them due to stigma—because, heaven forbid, anyone assume you’re taking care of your health.

In trials, participants given daily oral PrEP showed dismal adherence rates, proving that a twice-yearly injection might actually be practical. Imagine that—science creating something people might actually use.

Revolutionary!

The Elephant in the Room: Price

Of course, no miracle comes cheap.

Here’s where things get awkward: lenacapavir as an HIV treatment in the U.S. currently costs a staggering $42,250 per year per patient. For context, South Africans need their PrEP meds priced at less than $54 annually to make them accessible. Yeah, you read that right.

So, while lenacapavir might cure the epidemic, it could also bankrupt anyone who dares to need it. But hey, at least it works, right?

The Road Ahead

Gilead Sciences, the California-based company behind lenacapavir, plans to submit regulatory filings by the end of 2024.

If approved, the drug could hit markets in 2025. But let’s not forget the fine print: widespread adoption will require some serious infrastructure to deliver injections to at-risk populations.

Advocates like Cécile Tremblay, an HIV researcher, emphasize that access is critical—especially in sub-Saharan Africa, where HIV hits the hardest.

With 25.7 million of the world’s 38.4 million HIV-positive people living in this region, the stakes couldn’t be higher.

Tremblay and other experts argue that the pharmaceutical industry owes it to trial participants to make lenacapavir accessible—whether through generics or direct distribution. After all, these participants helped prove the drug works.

The Verdict

So, here’s the deal: lenacapavir is the closest thing to a miracle drug we’ve seen for HIV in decades. But miracles don’t come cheap—or without complications.

The question is, will we actually make the effort to ensure this breakthrough reaches the people who need it most? Or will we let the promise of progress get tangled up in price tags and politics?

According to NPR, this drug could “alter the course of the epidemic” if deployed widely.

Whether that actually happens is anyone’s guess. But for now, let’s raise a cautious cheer for science—and cross our fingers that humanity doesn’t fumble the ball.

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